The Foundation for Nature Conservation and Environmental Protection (Stichting Natuur & Milieu) recently presented a mobility vision that is intended to ensure substantially lower emissions in 2030 and 2037 than the current and proposed policy of the Dutch government.
The vision has been translated into four objectives aimed at reducing CO2, NOx and space, and increasing the share of renewable energy. To this end, the Foundation for Nature Conservation and Environmental Protection has formulated a number of ambitions at macro level. To achieve the ambitions, the Foundation for Nature Conservation and Environmental Protection has also prepared a comprehensive package of measures
CE Delft has calculated the effect of the proposed ambitions and measures in order to identify the potential outcome, which has been compared with the results of the 2022 Climate and Energy Report (Klimaat- en Energieverkenning 2022). The results of the calculations for CO2 and NOx effects are potential effects: indicative estimates that do not take into account the required budget, feasibility and design of the measures. The extent to which measures can reinforce each other has also not been quantified. However, the total effect of all combined measures was corrected for double counting.
The calculation shows that the measures are sufficient to achieve the ambitions. For example, for CO2 in 2030, the measures are slightly more effective than dictated by the ambitions: the ambitions result in a 49% reduction compared to 1990, while the measures achieve a 53% reduction. In 2037, the reduction achieved by the ambition package is almost identical to the reduction achieved by the measure package, respectively 81% and 82% compared to 1990.